Page 250 - FY 2020-21 Revenue Outlook
P. 250

REVENUE MONTHLY STATUS REPORT
                                               Local Public Safety Fund

                                                       (Thousand Dollars)
                              2016-17   2017-18   2018-19                  2019-20                   2020-21
                MONTHLY      ACTUAL     ACTUAL    ACTUAL    BUDGET   ACTUAL    VARIANCE   REVISED  PROPOSED
                JULY      $     3,334     3,280     3,256     3,660     3,603       (57)     3,603     3,222
                AUGUST          4,006     4,241     4,536     4,520     4,395      (125)     4,395     4,082
                SEPTEMBER       3,283     3,554     3,817     3,880     3,676      (204)     3,676     3,319
                OCTOBER         3,278     3,313     3,553     3,600     3,715       115      3,715     3,409
                NOVEMBER        3,146     3,319     3,471     3,660     3,743        83      3,743     3,378
                DECEMBER        3,981     4,184     4,496     4,530     4,531         1      4,531     3,898
                JANUARY         3,175     3,307     3,424     3,740     3,713       (27)     3,713     3,289
                FEBRUARY        3,144     3,421     3,502     3,620     3,773       153      3,773     3,677
                MARCH           4,822     4,902     5,201     5,390     5,311       (79)     5,311     4,761
                APRIL           2,942     3,165     3,516     3,420                          4,521     3,649
                MAY             2,883     2,872     3,053     3,250                          3,081     3,064
                JUNE            4,124     4,262     4,153     4,670                          2,311     4,298
                TOTAL         $  42,117 $  43,819 $  45,979 $  47,940                    $  46,374  $  44,046
                % Change         3.7%      4.0%       4.9%     4.3%                           0.9%      -5.0%
                              2016-17   2017-18   2018-19                  2019-20                   2020-21
                CUMULATIVE   ACTUAL    ACTUAL     ACTUAL   BUDGET    ACTUAL    VARIANCE   REVISED  PROPOSED
                JULY      $     3,334     3,280     3,256     3,660     3,603       (57)     3,603     3,222
                AUGUST          7,340     7,521     7,792     8,180     7,998      (182)     7,998     7,304
                SEPTEMBER      10,623    11,074     11,609   12,060    11,674      (386)    11,674     10,623
                OCTOBER        13,901    14,388     15,162   15,660    15,389      (271)    15,389     14,032
                NOVEMBER       17,047    17,706     18,633   19,320    19,133      (187)    19,133     17,410
                DECEMBER       21,028    21,890     23,129   23,850    23,664      (186)    23,664     21,308
                JANUARY        24,203    25,197     26,553   27,590    27,377      (213)    27,377     24,597
                FEBRUARY       27,346    28,618     30,055   31,210    31,150       (60)    31,150     28,274
                MARCH          32,169    33,520     35,256   36,600    36,461      (139)    36,461     33,035
                APRIL          35,111    36,685     38,772   40,020                         40,982     36,684
                MAY            37,994    39,557     41,826   43,270                         44,063     39,748
                JUNE           42,117    43,819     45,979   47,940                         46,374     44,046
                In 1993, State legislation provided for the allocation of 1/2 cent sales tax to local government. Proposition 172 was
                approved by voters in November 1993 which extended the allocation exclusively for public safety purposes. Funds
                are allocated by the Board of Equalization to counties, which in turn, distribute a portion to cities. A city's share is
                determined by the amount of property taxes shifted to schools in the 1993-94 State budget and further adjusted by
                other State actions.

                Since 1999-2000 growth in fund revenue has mirrored growth in the City's sales tax revenue. Fiscal year 2019-20
                and 2020-21 revenues assume a decline in receipts in line with the sales tax consultant's estimate for the
                pandemic-driven recession.


























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