Page 22 - FY 2021--22 Revenue Outlook
P. 22

2021-22 PROPOSED BUDGET
                                DETAIL FOR GENERAL FUND OUTLOOK

                                          Fiscal Years 2020-21 through 2025-26
                                               (Percent Growth From Prior Year Base)



                                                     2020-21   2021-22    2022-23   2023-24    2024-25    2025-26
                                                     Revised   Proposed  Forecast   Forecast   Forecast  Forecast

           Property Tax (Base)                           6.0%      6.1%       5.0%      5.0%       5.0%      5.0%
           Property Tax - VLF Replacement                6.6%      5.9%       5.0%      5.0%       5.0%      5.0%
           Total Property Taxes                          6.1%      6.1%       5.0%      5.0%       5.0%      5.0%

           Redirection of ex-CRA Tax Increment Monies   25.4%      5.1%       5.0%      5.0%       5.0%      5.0%
           Electricity Users Tax                        -2.5%      0.9%       3.6%      3.6%       3.6%      3.6%
           Communication Users Tax                     -14.4%     -14.4%    -13.3%    -12.7%     -11.9%     -10.6%
           Gas Users Tax                                -1.5%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%
           Utility Users Tax                            -4.8%      -2.0%      0.5%      0.9%       1.3%      1.7%
           Departmental Receipts                        -5.2%      5.9%      13.3%      5.5%       2.7%      2.7%
           Sales Tax                                    -7.2%     17.5%       8.2%      4.1%       3.3%      3.0%
           Business Tax                                  0.3%      9.4%       7.9%      6.1%       5.0%      3.6%
               Business Tax Excluding Cannabis          -8.1%      3.8%       3.0%      3.0%       3.0%      3.0%
               Business Tax Cannabis                    71.2%     34.7%      25.0%     15.0%      10.0%      5.0%
           Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT)               -60.3%     75.5%      42.2%     15.0%      10.9%      4.5%
               TOT - Hotels                            -61.9%     76.1%      45.8%     15.0%      10.9%      4.5%
               TOT - Short Term Rental                 -52.0%     73.2%      27.4%     15.0%      10.9%      4.5%
           Power Revenue Transfer                       -5.0%      3.4%       2.1%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%
           Documentary Transfer Tax                      7.0%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%
               Documentary Legal Entity Transfer         7.5%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%
           Parking Fines                               -22.7%     39.3%       5.1%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%
           Parking Occupancy Tax                       -46.8%     74.6%      12.0%     10.9%       2.6%      2.6%
           Franchise Income *                           -2.1%      0.3%       0.0%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%
           Special Parking Revenue (SPRF) Transfer    -100.0%    NA         177.2%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%
           Interest                                    -44.8%     -25.0%     36.0%     34.5%       1.0%      1.0%
           Grants Receipts                               2.6%     -6.5%       0.0%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%
           Tobacco Settlement                            0.0%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%
           Residential Development Tax                  -4.6%      4.3%       0.0%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%
           State Motor Vehicle License Fees             -8.0%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%       0.0%      0.0%
           Subtotal General Fund Excluding One-Time     -4.0%      8.6%      7.7%       4.8%      3.6%       3.4%
           Subtotal General Fund Including One-Time     -0.7%      4.9%       7.3%      4.6%       3.6%      3.4%
           Total General Fund (with ARP)                 9.9%      4.5%      -2.6%      4.6%       3.6%      3.4%

           Reported percent growth does not include include the first year impact of ongoing changes or one-time receipts and reductions..
           *Ongoing changes for redirected cable television franchise revenue are included in the forecasted growth for franchise income.












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