Page 58 - FY 2022-23 Revenue Outlook
P. 58

Sales Tax - (Million Dollars)

                           700     600     500     400     300     200      100           rate was at its   With the onset of the

                                                         j   .   .   .   .   6.4   1   I   22            triple-flip.
                                 17.5            10.7     !        ¼_____ I
                                                           --------.. ----  . -------  ......   ......  .  17
                                                        .   .   :   .   .   ,


                        City 1-Percent Sales Tax and Local Unemployment Rate
                                                   -~ ---------------  ------  ·   ..   .   --------------





                                                 •I   ..    ------            12
                                             12.4
                                                            -----------  ---------------



                                                            ---      5.3      07


                                                                   . ,..

                  Sales Tax                                       _____ ······•·   ..   ---------  02  97  Fiscal Year Ending Sales tax revenue is an economically sensitive revenue that echoes changes in employment. In the chart above, as the unemployment rate  increases during economic downturns, growth in City sales tax revenue slows or declines. Prior to the pandemic, the unemployment highest level (12.8 percent) during the Great Recession in this 40-year time series, which coinci














                              Increasing Unemployment Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment Rate Sales Tax Receipts 12-Mo. Moving Sum (adj. for Triple-Flip)  92










                                                    ---------------           87




                                                    :·· .
                                                     . .
                                                    .
                                                                              82
                           20      17      14      11      8       5        2
                                                                                                     State.
                                                                 Unemployment Rate (%)
   53   54   55   56   57   58   59   60   61   62   63